George Selgin, March 15, 2021
Ron Paul and Our Big, Fat Fed
https://www.cato.org/blog/ron-paul-our-big-fat-fed
Selgin writes:
By the time the Great Recession ended, the Fed’s balance sheet was more than four times as large as it was in mid‐2008. And now...it has doubled in size yet again, to just shy of $7.6 trillion.
And Ron Paul is partly responsible for it.
Every dollar the Treasury puts into the TGA reduces the banks’ combined reserve balances by one dollar. It follows that, whatever level of reserve balances the Fed considers necessary to keep its “abundant reserve” or floor system functioning smoothly and otherwise achieve its macroeconomic objectives, preserving that level requires a Fed balance sheet that’s X dollars bigger for every X dollars in the TGA account. So, when the Treasury stuffed $1.8 trillion into that account, the Fed had to compensate by arranging to add $1.8 trillion more to its portfolio than it might have added otherwise.
[Talking about old Eccles, long ago:]
Eccles went on to explain that the direct‐purchase authority was “in effect, merely an overdraft privilege with the Reserve banks—a line of available credit for use if needed,” without which “the Treasury would feel obliged to carry much larger cash balances.”
As The New York Times explained on March 31, 1979, a temporary debt ceiling of $798 billion was scheduled to revert, after midnight, to what had been its “permanent” level of just $400 billion. As part of its effort to avoid breaching the ceiling before Congress could raise the ceiling again, the Treasury took advantage of the Fed’s direct purchase authority to borrow $3 billion from the Fed. To do so, it
"first redeemed $3 billion of securities from the Exchange Stabilization Fund, which is utilized to buy foreign currencies to bolster the dollar. This lowered the national debt by that amount, enabling the Treasury to arrange a loan from the Federal Reserve. Such loans are included under the $798 billion ceiling."
One of the hawks who severely disapproved of this maneuver was Ron Paul...
[The "overdraft" expired for good two years later.]
Not Paul’s Fault
What Paul couldn’t have anticipated was the Fed’s October 2008 decision to begin paying interest on bank reserves. That decision once again made it profitable for the Treasury to favor TGA balances over TT&L balances.
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My (Mac's) comments:
Selgin gives this, rather mercenary, reason for the Treasury stopping storing its money in private banks and banking once again primarily with the Fed. I had presumed the real reason was as a sort of balance to the Fed's excess reserves post 2008 system, or just as a result of that system that it didn't matter much and so they just did it that way, but either way, the result is as Selgin discusses it. But the withdrawal of the (in the scheme of things, small) "overdraft" direct purchase authority meant the Treasury was keeping extra ready cash--and due to the interest on reserves (the Treasury gets paid interest by the Fed?!?!!), Selgin claims, that extra cash went out of the economy and into to the traditional anti-bank account of the Federal Reserve System, the TGA. Now that the TGA acts as an anti-account, withdrawing, not adding money supply to the economy, it forces the interest rate obsessed Fed to do Open Market Ops, hoovering up Treasury Bonds (Selgin calls Treasury Bonds held by the Fed, "the Fed’s balance sheet.")in exchange for the plentiful reserves it was adding to the banking system.
(Now, the Treasury doesn't use it's Federal Reserve System so-called "account" the way the other account holders do. The other account holders loan their money out on the interbank lending market. The Treasury abstains from this, when "banking" with the Fed--so any money that goes into the Treasury General Account is money the banks no longer have access to until it is spent fiscally. So not just the Fed, but the Treasury, when so-called "banking" with the Fed acts as an "anti-bank.")
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